Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Friday, October 2, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | Lavell Edwards Stadium, Provo, UT |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | UTST | +24.0 | 62.5 | +1300 |
| 110 | BYU | -24.0 | -2000 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | Power Ratings | BYU 76% odds to win | |
| BYU | Similar Games | BYU 92% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTST +24.0 | Power Ratings | Utah State loses by 9.7 | |
| UTST +24.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Utah State 53% odds to cover | |
| UTST +24.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Utah State loses by 20.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 62.5 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go over 62.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTST +1300 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 17% different from model | |
| UTST +1300 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UTST | adv | BYU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.9 | 35.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.353 | 0.507 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -7.1 | +13.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 424.4 | 427.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.6 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.231% | 51.477% | |
| SOS PR | 21.3 | 29.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UTST | adv | BYU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 34.0 | 21.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.474 | 0.312 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 463.1 | 328.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.5 | 4.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.5 | 0.0 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 75.3 | 66.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UTST | adv | BYU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 10-2 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 7-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 2-2 | 4-2 | |
| Away | 1-6 | 7-0 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UTST | adv | BYU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-3-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-1-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||