Game Information
| Week | Week 9 |
| Date | Saturday, October 31, 2009 |
| Time | 5:00 PM |
| Location | Bulldog Stadium, Fresno, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175 | UTST | +16.5 | 62.5 | +545 |
| 176 | FRES | -16.5 | -665 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno St | Power Ratings | Fresno St 92% odds to win | |
| Fresno St | Similar Games | Fresno St 86% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES -16.5 | Power Ratings | Fresno St wins by 21.3 | |
| UTST +16.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Utah State 59% odds to cover | |
| UTST +16.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Utah State loses by 15.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 62.5 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go over 62.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES -700 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UTST | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.9 | 32.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.353 | 0.468 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -7.1 | +1.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 424.4 | 423.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.6 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.231% | 53.676% | |
| SOS PR | 21.3 | 22.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UTST | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 34.0 | 30.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.474 | 0.474 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 463.1 | 428.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.5 | 6.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.5 | -0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 75.3 | 39.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UTST | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 2-2 | 3-1 | |
| Away | 1-6 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UTST | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-3-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-1-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||