Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
| Time | 4:00 PM |
| Location | Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169 | NMSU | +20.5 | 41.5 | +770 |
| 170 | LTEC | -20.5 | -1025 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Tech | Power Ratings | LA Tech 82% odds to win | |
| LA Tech | Similar Games | LA Tech 87% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU +20.0 | Power Ratings | N Mex State loses by 13.5 | |
| LTEC -20.0 | Similar Games - Odds | LA Tech 54% odds to cover | |
| NMSU +20.0 | Similar Games - Pts | N Mex State loses by 16.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 42.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 42.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU +770 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| NMSU +770 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NMSU | adv | LTEC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 10.7 | 27.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.177 | 0.391 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -22.1 | +0.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 224.0 | 355.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 3.7 | 5.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.757% | 49.467% | |
| SOS PR | 19.7 | 23.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NMSU | adv | LTEC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 32.8 | 26.9 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.471 | 0.375 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 436.1 | 377.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.3 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.3 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.9 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 41.7 | 55.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NMSU | adv | LTEC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-10 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L7 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 3-1 | |
| Away | 1-6 | 0-7 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NMSU | adv | LTEC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 7-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 4-0-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||