IMPORTANT: Due to prediction logic refinements we are making, Week 5 college football predictions are likely to change by mid-week.

BCS Title Game: Florida St vs. Auburn

  Monday Jan 6, 2014 - 8:30 pm - Pasadena, CA (Neutral Site) | Odds: Florida State by 11.5, Total Points: 67 | Team Pages: FSU | AUB

Scoring & Yardage

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat FSU adv AUB FSU adv AUB FSU adv AUB
Avg Score Margin +6.0 +25.3 +6.0 +25.3 +6.0 +35.0
Points/Game 30.0 41.3 30.0 41.3 37.0 52.0
Opp Points/Game 24.0 16.0 24.0 16.0 31.0 17.0
First Downs/Game 20.5 25.0 20.5 25.0 23.0 26.5
Yards/Game 397.0 482.3 397.0 482.3 476.0 544.0
Opp Yards/Game 385.5 310.7 385.5 310.7 364.0 323.5

Offensive Efficiency

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat FSU adv AUB FSU adv AUB FSU adv AUB
Plays/Game 72.0 73.3 72.0 73.3 73.0 72.0
Rush Play % 40.28% 65.00% 40.28% 65.00% 42.47% 68.06%
Pass Play % 59.72% 35.00% 59.72% 35.00% 57.53% 31.94%
Yards/Play 5.5 6.6 5.5 6.6 6.5 7.6
Yards/Rush 2.1 5.5 2.1 5.5 3.4 6.7
Yards/Pass 8.5 8.7 8.5 8.7 9.2 9.5
Points/Play 0.417 0.564 0.417 0.564 0.507 0.722
3D Conversion % 27.59% 63.04% 27.59% 63.04% 28.57% 67.86%
RZ Scoring % 85.71% 100.00% 85.71% 100.00% 80.00% 100.00%

Defensive Efficiency

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat FSU adv AUB FSU adv AUB FSU adv AUB
Opp Plays/Game 72.5 71.7 72.5 71.7 71.0 71.0
Opp Rush Play % 56.55% 48.37% 56.55% 48.37% 59.15% 52.11%
Opp Pass Play % 43.45% 51.63% 43.45% 51.63% 40.85% 47.89%
Opp Yards/Play 5.3 4.3 5.3 4.3 5.1 4.6
Opp Yards/Rush 3.2 2.5 3.2 2.5 3.8 2.9
Opp Yards/Pass 8.3 6.5 8.3 6.5 7.2 6.8
Opp Points/Play 0.331 0.223 0.331 0.223 0.437 0.239
Opp 3D Conv % 40.62% 39.53% 40.62% 39.53% 50.00% 31.03%
Opp RZ Scoring % 60.00% 63.64% 60.00% 63.64% 100.00% 83.33%

Turnovers, Penalties & TOP

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat FSU adv AUB FSU adv AUB FSU adv AUB
TO Margin/Game -0.5 +1.0 -0.5 +1.0 -- +0.5
Opp Int Thrown % 1.64% 5.83% 1.64% 5.83% 3.57% 6.35%
Fumble Rec % 100.00% 27.27% 100.00% 27.27% 100.00% 12.50%
Penalties/Game 8.0 6.0 8.0 6.0 8.0 6.0
Opp Penalties/Game 5.0 3.7 5.0 3.7 7.0 5.5
TOP % (net OT) 50.33% 49.39% 50.33% 49.39% 55.14% 48.25%