IMPORTANT: Due to prediction logic refinements we are making, Week 5 college football predictions are likely to change by mid-week.

BCS Title Game: Alabama vs. LSU

  Monday Jan 9, 2012 - 8:30 pm - New Orleans, LA (Neutral Site) | Odds: Alabama by 2.5, Total Points: 41 | Team Pages: ALA | LSU

Key Offensive Stats

Stat ALA adv LSU
Points/Game 42.0 29.3
Points/Play 0.533 0.400
Avg Score Margin +28.0 +10.0
Yards/Game 587.5 389.0
Yards/Play 7.5 5.3
TOP % (net OT) 60.41% 53.78%

Key Defensive Stats

Stat ALA adv LSU
Opp Points/Game 14.0 19.3
Opp Points/Play 0.245 0.310
Opp Yards/Game 250.2 327.0
Opp Yards/Play 4.4 5.2
Takeaways/Game 1.0 1.7
TO Margin/Game -0.8 +0.7
Penalty Yds/Game 53.5 44.0

Alabama vs LSU Offensive Efficiency

Stat ALA adv LSU
Avg Time of Poss 35:03 32:16
Plays/Game 78.8 73.3
Yards/Play 7.5 5.3
Yards/Rush 5.6 3.2
Yards/Pass 10.3 9.4
Yards/Completion 14.6 17.9
Rush Play % 58.10% 60.91%
QB Sacked % 2.27% 9.30%
Pass Play % 41.90% 39.09%
Completion % 70.54% 52.56%
Int Thrown % 1.55% 2.56%
FG Conversion % 87.50% 100.00%
Points/FGA 2.6 3.0
Punts/Play 0.0 0.1
Punts/Score 0.2 1.4
First Downs/Play 0.368 0.268
3D Conversion % 61.82% 34.09%
4D Conversion % 33.33% 75.00%
RZ Scoring % 80.00% 75.00%
Fumble Rec % 20.00% 66.67%
GA Fumble Rec % 0.00% 75.00%
TA Fumble Rec % 40.00% 60.00%
Penalty Yds/Pen 7.9 8.2
Penalties/Play 0.05 0.04

Alabama vs LSU Defensive Efficiency

Stat ALA adv LSU
Opp Avg Time of Poss 22:58 27:44
Opp Plays/Game 57.2 62.3
Opp Yards/Play 4.4 5.2
Opp Yards/Rush 2.7 5.5
Opp Yards/Pass 5.8 5.1
Opp Yards/Completion 10.9 10.1
Opp Rush Play % 40.61% 56.68%
Sack % 5.15% 3.70%
Opp Pass Play % 59.39% 43.32%
Opp Completion % 53.49% 50.00%
Opp Int Thrown % 1.55% 2.56%
Opp FG Conv % 87.50% 100.00%
Opp Points/FGA 2.6 3.0
Opp Punts/Play 0.1 0.1
Opp Punts/Score 2.0 2.4
Opp First Downs/Play 0.240 0.230
Opp 3D Conv % 24.00% 30.23%
Opp 4D Conv % 0.00% 50.00%
Opp RZ Scoring % 100.00% 85.71%
Opp Fumble Rec % 80.00% 33.33%
Opp GA Fumble Rec % 60.00% 40.00%
Opp TA Fumble Rec % 100.00% 25.00%
Opp Penalty Yds/Pen 8.2 8.0
Opp Penalties/Play 0.04 0.03