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BCS Title Game: Alabama vs. LSU: Point Spread Analysis

Monday Jan 9, 2012 8:30 pm - New Orleans, LA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Alabama by 2.5, Total Points: 41

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
LSU +2.5 Official TR Pick LSU 54% odds to cover
LSU +2.5 Similar Games LSU 52% odds to cover
Alabama -2.5 Decision Tree Alabama 56% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ALA adv LSU
Season 9-5-0 8-5-0
vs Conference 7-2-0 5-3-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 7-3-0 6-4-0
Home 5-2-0 6-1-0
Away 4-3-0 2-4-0

Alabama Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/02 Home Middle Tenn -39.0 W by 49 +10.0
09/09 Home Texas -7.0 L by 10 -17.0
09/16 Away S Florida -34.5 W by 14 -20.5
09/23 Home Mississippi -7.0 W by 14 +7.0
09/30 Away Miss State -16.5 W by 23 +6.5
10/07 Away Texas A&M -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
10/14 Home Arkansas -19.0 W by 3 -16.0
10/21 Home Tennessee -8.5 W by 14 +5.5
11/04 Home LSU -3.0 W by 14 +11.0
11/11 Away Kentucky -10.5 W by 28 +17.5
11/18 Home Chattanooga -44.0 W by 56 +12.0
11/25 Away Auburn -13.5 W by 3 -10.5
12/02 Neutral Georgia +5.5 W by 3 +8.5
01/01 Neutral Michigan +2.0 L by 7 -5.0

LSU Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/03 Neutral Florida St -1.5 L by 21 -22.5
09/09 Home Grambling St -57.0 W by 62 +5.0
09/16 Away Miss State -9.5 W by 27 +17.5
09/23 Home Arkansas -17.5 W by 3 -14.5
09/30 Away Mississippi -2.5 L by 6 -8.5
10/07 Away Missouri -6.0 W by 10 +4.0
10/14 Home Auburn -11.0 W by 30 +19.0
10/21 Home Army -32.5 W by 62 +29.5
11/04 Away Alabama +3.0 L by 14 -11.0
11/11 Home Florida -16.0 W by 17 +1.0
11/18 Home Georgia St -32.0 W by 42 +10.0
11/25 Home Texas A&M -11.0 W by 12 +1.0
01/01 Neutral Wisconsin -9.5 W by 4 -5.5