IMPORTANT: Due to prediction logic refinements we are making, Week 5 college football predictions are likely to change by mid-week.

BBVA Compass Bowl: S Methodist vs. Pittsburgh

  Saturday Jan 7, 2012 - 1:00 pm - Birmingham, AL (Neutral Site) | Odds: Pittsburgh by 3.5, Total Points: 48.5 | Team Pages: SMU | PITT

PITT -3.5 Open -5.0 High -5.0
Last -4.0 Low -3.5

Line Movement

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2006-2007 college football season there have been 403 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Pittsburgh won the game 218 times (54.1%)
  • The team like Southern Methodist won the game 185 times (45.9%)
  • The team like Southern Methodist did better against the spread, going 215-179-9 (54.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2008-2009 college football season there have been 331 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Southern Methodist did better against the spread, going 184-144-3 (56.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.5 points.