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Music City Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Miss State

  Friday Dec 30, 2011 - 6:40 pm - Nashville, TN (Neutral Site) | Odds: Mississippi State by 6.5, Total Points: 48.5 | Team Pages: WAKE | MSST


MSST -6.5 Open -6.5 High -7.0
Last -7.0 Low -6.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from Pinnacle Sports

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2006-2007 college football season there have been 380 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Mississippi State won the game 274 times (72.1%)
  • The team like Wake Forest won the game 106 times (27.9%)
  • The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 190-187-3 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.5 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2008-2009 college football season there have been 377 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.

In these games, the team like Wake Forest did better against the spread, going 187-185-5 (50.3% ATS).