IMPORTANT: Due to prediction logic refinements we are making, Week 5 college football predictions are likely to change by mid-week.

Holiday Bowl: California vs. Texas

  Wednesday Dec 28, 2011 - 8:00 pm - San Diego, CA (Neutral Site) | Odds: Texas by 3, Total Points: 48 | Team Pages: CAL | TEX


TEX -3.0 Open -3.5 High -4.0
Last -3.5 Low -3.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from Pinnacle Sports

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2006-2007 college football season there have been 415 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:

  • The team like Texas won the game 223 times (53.7%)
  • The team like California won the game 192 times (46.3%)
  • The team like California did better against the spread, going 218-188-9 (53.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.3 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2008-2009 college football season there have been 648 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Texas did better against the spread, going 353-287-8 (55.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.