November 4, 2013 - by David Hess
NCAA hoops starts in 4 days, which means we’re in the final stages of setting up our college basketball section for the upcoming season. Rosters have been loaded on our test server, and we’re making some final checks and tweaks before releasing everything to the wild. So, we won’t have official record projections and conference standings predictions posted until tonight or tomorrow, but we’ve got our preseason ratings prepped and ready to share.
These ratings are completely data-driven, with no manual fudges (except for the four new Division I teams, for whom we estimated ratings based on research into past results and current rosters). As with last year, the main inputs to our system are past team ratings, current rosters, player stats from the past few seasons, and recruiting info.
The basic idea is that we establish a baseline prediction for a team, given their power ratings from recent years, and assuming an average amount of roster turnover. Then we make some adjustments based on how much value each team is returning on offense and defense (see our post on returning production from two years ago for a brief recap of how we calculate that), as well as the strength of their recruiting classes from the past few years, and the value of any transfers they’ve added this season.
We also use NBA draft info, as losing a high pick seems to have a negative effect beyond what we can capture in our returning value stat.
Below is our full ranking from 1 to 351, plus the key factors driving each team’s rating. Here’s a guide to what each column shows:
The main purpose of these ratings is to drive our college basketball projection pages [link to come once this season’s projections are up]. Before the season starts, those will be 100% driven by these ratings. As the year progresses, the preseason ratings will have less and less of an impact, until they are nearly irrelevant at the end of the season.
Of course, they’re also fun to talk about. If you’ve got questions or comments on these ratings, fire away in the comments below the post!
UPDATE (11/5/2013 1:20 PM ET): Per comments from @RamBBallStatMan, @Hoops_Nerd, @ShockerHoops, and others, we discovered a bug in the way we were handling transfer data. Correcting that bug in the historical data and retraining the model led to changes in the importance of certain variables. In particular, the impact of transfers and recruits has increased, presumably because the data is cleaner than before. In addition, the transfer lists for various teams have changed, leading them to rise or fall in the rankings. This final version has some significant changes from the initial rankings we posted, so we apologize for any confusion or inconvenience that may have caused.
There will be no more major updates to these rankings, as we are loading them into the database this morning in order to create the conference and full season record projections, which will be posted later today.
Rank Team Conf Rating Last Yr Rank Baseline Ret. Off Ret. Def Rec + Trans
1 Louisville American 21.0 1 17.4 74% 68% 1.1
2 Kentucky SEC 20.0 35 12.8 31% 34% 12.0
3 Duke ACC 19.9 4 16.6 40% 56% 5.4
4 Kansas Big 12 19.7 7 16.4 14% 25% 9.7
5 Florida SEC 19.6 3 17.1 44% 54% 4.7
6 Michigan St Big Ten 18.0 11 13.8 81% 84% 0.3
7 Ohio State Big Ten 17.4 9 16.0 63% 76% 0.6
8 Wisconsin Big Ten 17.4 12 14.0 65% 54% 3.5
9 Memphis American 16.2 43 9.0 58% 56% 7.0
10 Oklahoma St Big 12 15.8 22 9.8 96% 85% 0.8
11 Connecticut American 15.6 50 8.6 96% 87% 2.1
12 N Carolina ACC 15.1 23 11.6 58% 73% 1.7
13 Baylor Big 12 15.0 24 10.8 65% 61% 4.6
14 Gonzaga WCC 15.0 5 14.5 52% 56% 1.6
15 Virginia ACC 14.9 44 8.1 96% 75% 2.7
16 Creighton Big East 14.7 16 11.0 85% 76% 0.0
17 Arizona Pac-12 14.7 15 11.6 35% 47% 6.1
18 Indiana Big Ten 14.7 2 16.2 22% 30% 4.9
19 Minnesota Big Ten 14.2 17 11.4 59% 47% 3.2
20 VCU A-10 14.1 13 11.5 70% 64% 0.7
21 Syracuse ACC 13.9 8 15.5 37% 45% 1.5
22 Georgetown Big East 13.5 19 11.6 61% 80% 0.6
23 Michigan Big Ten 13.5 6 14.1 55% 63% 1.2
24 Iowa Big Ten 13.1 34 8.2 88% 88% 0.2
25 Pittsburgh ACC 12.9 10 13.3 48% 50% 1.1
26 Villanova Big East 12.8 57 7.8 73% 73% 2.3
27 Stanford Pac-12 12.7 52 7.0 97% 95% 0.2
28 Notre Dame ACC 12.7 39 9.7 69% 72% 0.8
29 Saint Louis A-10 12.6 29 9.3 73% 67% 1.6
30 Illinois Big Ten 12.5 40 9.2 32% 41% 6.6
31 Oregon Pac-12 12.5 37 8.1 29% 44% 7.2
32 Harvard Ivy 12.3 98 3.8 93% 87% 4.3
33 Missouri SEC 11.9 20 11.8 34% 37% 3.6
34 New Mexico MWC 11.7 32 10.2 74% 66% 0.1
35 Marquette Big East 11.7 30 10.6 63% 59% 1.2
36 Tennessee SEC 11.6 72 6.6 59% 69% 4.0
37 St Marys WCC 11.4 21 10.7 59% 61% 1.0
38 Providence Big East 11.0 69 5.3 92% 86% 1.8
39 Maryland ACC 11.0 53 8.1 55% 63% 2.8
40 Boise State MWC 10.7 54 5.9 92% 89% 0.0
41 UCLA Pac-12 10.6 45 7.8 64% 74% 1.8
42 Wichita St MVC 10.5 18 10.9 51% 39% 1.6
43 Alabama SEC 10.5 62 7.0 88% 59% 2.0
44 Xavier Big East 10.3 79 6.4 50% 59% 3.4
45 Purdue Big Ten 10.3 77 7.5 61% 57% 1.9
46 BYU WCC 10.2 51 9.3 59% 49% 1.3
47 St Johns Big East 10.2 99 3.9 91% 88% 2.1
48 Cincinnati American 10.1 31 9.9 47% 61% 0.5
49 Colorado Pac-12 10.1 46 7.7 81% 58% 0.2
50 Mississippi SEC 9.8 25 9.5 56% 54% 0.0
51 North Dakota State Summit 9.7 73 4.0 98% 96% 0.5
52 Boston Col ACC 9.1 108 2.8 98% 96% 1.2
53 Iowa State Big 12 8.9 26 9.7 35% 38% 2.4
54 Washington Pac-12 8.8 83 6.6 58% 57% 2.6
55 GA Tech ACC 8.8 93 3.9 82% 74% 2.4
56 California Pac-12 8.8 59 7.8 57% 66% 0.6
57 Kansas St Big 12 8.7 28 11.0 45% 51% 0.0
58 La Salle A-10 8.7 48 6.5 79% 79% 0.0
59 Richmond A-10 8.5 80 5.5 69% 67% 1.6
60 Dayton A-10 8.3 63 6.3 58% 69% 2.1
61 UNLV MWC 8.1 36 9.9 20% 28% 3.7
62 Arkansas SEC 8.0 61 5.5 50% 58% 4.3
63 Belmont OVC 8.0 42 8.8 36% 47% 2.4
64 Arizona St Pac-12 7.9 76 4.7 55% 51% 3.5
65 Butler Big East 7.9 49 7.9 54% 69% 0.0
66 S Mississippi CUSA 7.8 58 6.4 61% 53% 2.0
67 Wright State Horizon 7.8 125 1.6 100% 92% 1.3
68 LA Tech CUSA 7.2 81 3.0 90% 85% 0.2
69 Utah State MWC 7.0 113 4.0 88% 75% 0.0
70 San Diego St MWC 6.8 38 9.7 29% 44% 0.5
71 Denver Summit 6.6 55 5.6 67% 62% 0.0
72 Vanderbilt SEC 6.5 92 5.7 53% 58% 1.3
73 Seton Hall Big East 6.5 107 4.3 57% 77% 0.3
74 NC State ACC 6.4 33 9.0 25% 19% 2.9
75 Geo Mason A-10 6.3 137 1.8 91% 92% 0.2
76 U Mass A-10 6.3 86 2.9 65% 75% 2.1
77 Indiana St MVC 6.3 94 2.8 77% 87% 0.0
78 Miami (FL) ACC 6.2 14 11.5 11% 15% 1.7
79 Florida St ACC 6.1 111 5.0 60% 69% 0.5
80 Akron MAC 5.9 64 5.3 37% 53% 1.6
81 Weber State Big Sky 5.9 74 4.4 63% 71% 0.0
82 S Methodist American 5.8 177 -1.1 95% 86% 2.9
83 LSU SEC 5.6 103 2.3 71% 71% 1.6
84 WI-Grn Bay Horizon 5.4 133 0.7 71% 72% 2.7
85 Stony Brook Am. East 5.3 67 3.9 63% 65% 0.0
86 St Josephs A-10 5.3 75 4.4 60% 69% 0.1
87 W Virginia Big 12 5.3 117 4.9 63% 45% 1.6
88 Clemson ACC 5.2 100 4.9 49% 61% 0.3
89 TX El Paso CUSA 5.2 112 3.4 63% 67% 0.6
90 Davidson Southern 5.1 65 5.1 46% 54% 1.3
91 N Mex State WAC 5.1 89 3.4 75% 72% 0.0
92 Middle Tenn CUSA 5.0 41 7.5 39% 45% 0.0
93 N Iowa MVC 4.9 71 5.7 53% 52% 0.1
94 Colorado St MWC 4.9 27 8.7 16% 26% 2.1
95 Rutgers American 4.8 95 3.1 60% 56% 2.3
96 Wake Forest ACC 4.6 136 0.8 53% 84% 2.1
97 Iona MAAC 4.6 88 4.1 61% 70% 0.6
98 Oregon St Pac-12 4.5 105 2.8 69% 73% 0.0
99 Vermont Am. East 4.3 139 0.7 91% 88% 0.1
100 Central FL American 4.0 126 1.7 77% 74% 0.0
101 San Fransco WCC 4.0 138 0.5 84% 85% 0.5
102 Fla Gulf Cst A-Sun 3.9 110 0.9 63% 68% 1.9
103 Texas A&M SEC 3.9 90 4.8 46% 59% 0.2
104 Arkansas St Sun Belt 3.9 144 -0.3 50% 58% 4.0
105 S Florida American 3.8 124 2.5 65% 62% 0.7
106 Texas Big 12 3.7 104 6.1 16% 54% 0.3
107 Princeton Ivy 3.6 106 3.0 60% 66% 0.6
108 Geo Wshgtn A-10 3.6 109 2.0 61% 74% 0.4
109 Wash State Pac-12 3.5 91 4.0 56% 67% 0.0
110 Georgia St Sun Belt 3.4 189 -1.6 89% 82% 1.6
111 UAB CUSA 3.4 159 1.0 94% 71% 0.2
112 Mercer A-Sun 3.2 130 0.6 76% 81% 0.4
113 Kent State MAC 3.1 127 1.9 50% 51% 2.9
114 Northwestern Big Ten 3.1 120 3.4 41% 48% 0.4
115 Boston U Patriot 3.1 145 0.0 83% 81% 0.7
116 Oklahoma Big 12 3.0 47 6.7 15% 43% 0.4
117 Missouri St MVC 2.9 206 -0.8 53% 70% 2.7
118 USC Pac-12 2.9 102 3.4 48% 39% 1.5
119 E Kentucky OVC 2.9 121 0.0 81% 85% 0.1
120 Manhattan MAAC 2.9 174 -1.8 98% 81% 1.0
121 Delaware CAA 2.8 168 -1.7 66% 62% 2.9
122 Temple American 2.8 60 7.5 18% 34% 0.0
123 Drexel CAA 2.6 172 0.1 84% 66% 0.1
124 Ohio MAC 2.5 78 4.7 36% 41% 1.2
125 DePaul Big East 2.4 155 -0.6 75% 61% 1.2
126 Tulsa CUSA 2.3 173 0.5 61% 72% 0.0
127 Oakland Horizon 2.2 199 -1.0 85% 73% 0.3
128 Penn State Big Ten 2.2 149 1.3 37% 50% 1.4
129 Evansville MVC 2.1 87 2.3 57% 59% 0.0
130 VA Tech ACC 2.1 157 2.0 44% 73% 1.5
131 Rhode Island A-10 2.0 187 -0.8 54% 55% 2.4
132 Bucknell Patriot 1.8 66 4.9 27% 49% 0.0
133 Canisius MAAC 1.7 115 0.0 60% 63% 2.0
134 Nebraska Big Ten 1.7 123 2.4 39% 57% 0.7
135 S Dakota St Summit 1.6 97 2.9 48% 62% 0.1
136 UCSB Big West 1.5 217 -2.2 92% 86% 0.0
137 Charlotte CUSA 1.5 134 1.0 49% 58% 1.4
138 Northeastrn CAA 1.4 180 -1.1 53% 71% 2.4
139 Quinnipiac MAAC 1.3 214 -2.9 80% 80% 0.0
140 Fresno St MWC 1.3 118 1.3 74% 44% 0.5
141 Georgia SEC 1.3 114 3.2 31% 56% 0.0
142 Col Charlestn CAA 1.2 153 0.4 64% 71% 0.1
143 Wyoming MWC 1.2 96 2.4 57% 57% 0.1
144 Miss State SEC 1.1 245 -2.4 75% 91% 0.0
145 Cal Poly Big West 1.0 160 -1.2 67% 69% 0.6
146 Valparaiso Horizon 1.0 70 4.4 15% 24% 1.6
147 Cleveland St Horizon 1.0 262 -3.4 82% 77% 1.9
148 Santa Clara WCC 1.0 82 2.2 42% 46% 1.4
149 W Kentucky Sun Belt 0.9 175 -1.3 67% 74% 0.5
150 Towson CAA 0.9 161 -3.1 76% 68% 2.1
151 Wofford Southern 0.8 235 -3.0 90% 89% 0.0
152 South Carolina Upstate A-Sun 0.7 183 -2.7 88% 87% 0.0
153 Oral Roberts Southland 0.6 150 0.6 30% 47% 2.7
154 Toledo MAC 0.6 191 -3.4 67% 68% 1.9
155 Nevada MWC 0.6 165 0.2 56% 47% 1.4
156 Wm & Mary CAA 0.5 208 -3.3 95% 81% 0.0
157 Wagner NEC 0.4 193 -2.1 64% 71% 1.1
158 LA Lafayette Sun Belt 0.4 225 -4.1 83% 87% 0.9
159 Lehigh Patriot 0.3 84 2.8 39% 54% 0.1
160 Montana Big Sky 0.3 156 0.7 59% 60% 0.0
161 Houston American 0.3 169 -0.7 56% 75% 0.2
162 Rider MAAC 0.0 162 -0.9 58% 64% 0.5
163 Ste F Austin Southland -0.1 85 2.4 42% 43% 0.0
164 Detroit Horizon -0.1 68 4.8 17% 31% 0.4
165 NW State Southland -0.1 135 -0.9 56% 67% 0.4
166 Loyola Mymt WCC -0.2 212 -2.7 99% 75% 0.7
167 Rob Morris NEC -0.2 142 0.3 63% 56% 0.0
168 St Bonavent A-10 -0.2 116 2.3 31% 51% 0.0
169 UC Davis Big West -0.2 205 -4.4 91% 75% 1.1
170 Bradley MVC -0.3 151 -0.7 51% 44% 1.2
171 W Michigan MAC -0.3 146 -0.1 50% 61% 0.0
172 U Penn Ivy -0.4 250 -5.2 100% 100% 0.0
173 Drake MVC -0.5 122 0.9 34% 33% 1.7
174 Cal St Nrdge Big West -0.5 209 -4.1 89% 73% 1.1
175 W Carolina Southern -0.6 238 -4.3 87% 89% 0.0
176 Columbia Ivy -0.6 196 -3.0 58% 59% 2.4
177 Yale Ivy -0.6 197 -2.6 65% 78% 0.2
178 Loyola-MD Patriot -0.7 129 0.5 46% 46% 0.5
179 Pacific WCC -0.7 131 0.7 36% 49% 0.0
180 S Carolina SEC -0.9 200 -1.1 59% 48% 0.7
181 High Point Big South -0.9 219 -5.2 83% 77% 1.2
182 Charl South Big South -0.9 185 -2.6 69% 66% 0.0
183 Utah Pac-12 -0.9 119 0.9 41% 45% 0.0
184 Buffalo MAC -1.1 192 -0.9 57% 59% 0.0
185 Hawaii Big West -1.1 202 -2.8 70% 54% 2.2
186 UC Irvine Big West -1.2 141 -0.9 58% 55% 0.3
187 Murray St OVC -1.3 132 2.4 16% 27% 1.7
188 Portland WCC -1.5 255 -4.1 99% 82% 0.0
189 Youngs St Horizon -1.5 190 -2.5 69% 65% 0.0
190 Duquesne A-10 -1.5 230 -2.2 43% 32% 2.7
191 San Diego WCC -1.5 179 -2.6 64% 58% 0.9
192 Morgan St MEAC -1.5 207 -3.5 68% 76% 0.0
193 Illinois St MVC -1.6 56 5.5 5% 11% 0.0
194 N Colorado Big Sky -1.6 253 -4.3 81% 79% 0.6
195 Morehead St OVC -1.6 223 -2.6 54% 44% 2.5
196 NC Central MEAC -1.7 158 -2.0 39% 49% 1.8
197 Loyola-Chi MVC -1.7 166 -1.4 56% 59% 0.0
198 Fairfield MAAC -1.8 147 0.7 42% 42% 0.1
199 TX-Arlington Sun Belt -1.8 148 -0.7 46% 46% 0.4
200 Sam Hous St Southland -1.8 234 -4.0 84% 72% 0.4
201 Texas Tech Big 12 -1.9 237 -3.2 100% 68% 0.0
202 Hartford Am. East -2.0 228 -5.9 86% 88% 0.0
203 Bryant NEC -2.0 178 -4.1 72% 73% 0.0
204 Lafayette Patriot -2.1 195 -3.1 60% 62% 0.0
205 S Illinois MVC -2.1 171 -1.2 38% 44% 0.0
206 Norfolk St MEAC -2.2 216 -4.6 88% 72% 0.2
207 Seattle WAC -2.3 236 -4.8 44% 56% 2.7
208 Lg Beach St Big West -2.3 170 0.4 23% 38% 0.0
209 S Alabama Sun Belt -2.7 204 -3.6 78% 56% 0.1
210 AR Lit Rock Sun Belt -2.7 224 -4.1 72% 74% 0.0
211 E Carolina CUSA -2.7 128 0.6 27% 27% 0.9
212 Central Conn NEC -2.8 257 -5.7 74% 83% 0.0
213 NC-Asheville Big South -2.8 211 -3.1 28% 59% 1.9
214 Niagara MAAC -2.9 143 -0.9 37% 38% 0.5
215 Air Force MWC -2.9 101 1.8 15% 31% 0.0
216 IL-Chicago Horizon -2.9 181 -3.0 33% 45% 2.7
217 Army Patriot -2.9 154 -2.4 44% 62% 0.0
218 North Dakota Big Sky -2.9 264 -7.3 96% 73% 1.7
219 Miami (OH) MAC -3.0 249 -4.2 35% 69% 1.0
220 IPFW Summit -3.0 227 -4.4 53% 70% 1.5
221 Florida Intl CUSA -3.1 182 -3.2 57% 45% 1.7
222 Holy Cross Patriot -3.2 229 -4.6 64% 62% 0.0
223 Liberty Big South -3.3 279 -7.4 88% 81% 1.9
224 Old Dominion CUSA -3.4 274 -3.3 64% 63% 0.0
225 Albany Am. East -3.4 152 -1.6 41% 51% 0.0
226 Mt St Marys NEC -3.5 222 -4.6 67% 67% 0.0
227 Gard-Webb Big South -3.5 201 -3.9 42% 62% 0.9
228 CS Fullerton Big West -3.7 184 -2.1 26% 41% 2.2
229 App State Southern -3.8 268 -5.5 66% 65% 0.5
230 Hampton MEAC -3.8 272 -6.5 100% 79% 0.2
231 Marist MAAC -3.9 240 -6.4 74% 87% 0.0
232 Idaho WAC -3.9 198 -1.7 42% 15% 0.9
233 St Fran (NY) NEC -4.0 221 -4.6 64% 69% 0.0
234 TX Southern SWAC -4.1 164 -2.5 40% 38% 0.8
235 TX Christian Big 12 -4.2 251 -4.2 57% 44% 1.2
236 CS Bakersfld WAC -4.2 239 -5.9 39% 43% 3.7
237 E Michigan MAC -4.2 254 -5.7 37% 69% 0.7
238 SE Missouri OVC -4.2 226 -5.5 51% 65% 1.1
239 Southern SWAC -4.3 163 -3.8 52% 51% 0.2
240 Auburn SEC -4.6 188 -1.4 42% 32% 0.3
241 TN State OVC -4.6 176 -2.2 34% 43% 0.0
242 Dartmouth Ivy -4.6 271 -8.1 89% 89% 0.0
243 Jacksonville A-Sun -4.6 286 -6.2 53% 61% 0.9
244 Jksnville St OVC -4.7 210 -4.2 38% 43% 1.1
245 Fordham A-10 -4.7 259 -6.9 88% 77% 0.0
246 South Dakota Summit -4.7 244 -5.8 65% 75% 0.2
247 James Mad CAA -4.8 186 -1.9 36% 42% 0.0
248 Coastal Car Big South -4.9 243 -3.8 27% 62% 0.5
249 Texas State Sun Belt -4.9 261 -6.1 68% 62% 0.2
250 Winthrop Big South -4.9 270 -6.3 72% 67% 0.0
251 LIU-Brooklyn NEC -5.0 194 -2.0 37% 34% 0.0
252 Marshall CUSA -5.0 220 -1.4 32% 19% 0.4
253 Brown Ivy -5.1 232 -5.7 33% 57% 0.6
254 Cornell Ivy -5.1 252 -3.9 52% 49% 0.0
255 GA Southern Southern -5.1 278 -8.0 41% 62% 3.1
256 Ball State MAC -5.1 258 -5.2 59% 72% 0.0
257 Bowling Grn MAC -5.1 213 -3.2 50% 55% 0.0
258 Austin Peay OVC -5.2 307 -7.1 83% 76% 0.6
259 WI-Milwkee Horizon -5.3 292 -5.7 53% 53% 1.0
260 Colgate Patriot -5.4 263 -7.6 80% 71% 0.7
261 North Texas CUSA -5.4 260 -4.7 48% 33% 1.1
262 W Illinois Summit -5.4 167 -2.4 28% 36% -0.1
263 Samford Southern -5.4 284 -7.8 82% 77% 0.3
264 Radford Big South -5.4 298 -9.0 98% 88% 0.0
265 Central Mich MAC -5.5 246 -5.3 55% 73% 0.0
266 E Tenn St A-Sun -5.6 317 -6.7 70% 70% 0.0
267 Tulane CUSA -5.6 140 -0.1 12% 24% 0.0
268 Navy Patriot -5.6 294 -8.9 100% 87% 0.0
269 Troy Sun Belt -5.7 280 -6.8 48% 60% 0.9
270 NC-Wilmgton CAA -5.9 291 -7.1 46% 65% 0.5
271 N Florida A-Sun -5.9 242 -5.1 52% 39% 1.0
272 American Patriot -6.0 265 -5.9 55% 45% 2.2
273 Chattanooga Southern -6.0 299 -8.0 78% 72% 0.2
274 Pepperdine WCC -6.1 215 -4.4 52% 43% 0.2
275 Stetson A-Sun -6.4 233 -5.9 34% 44% 2.2
276 Savannah St MEAC -6.4 218 -4.5 0% 36% 1.4
277 Montana St Big Sky -6.4 300 -7.8 64% 77% 0.0
278 McNeese St Southland -6.5 305 -8.0 63% 78% 0.0
279 Siena MAAC -6.6 290 -6.0 32% 43% 0.5
280 St Peters MAAC -6.7 273 -6.2 64% 45% 1.2
281 Lipscomb A-Sun -6.7 303 -6.8 44% 62% 0.0
282 Fla Atlantic CUSA -6.8 241 -4.2 11% 48% 0.3
283 TX-San Ant CUSA -6.9 247 -4.6 34% 54% -0.2
284 TX A&M-CC Southland -7.0 308 -8.6 75% 66% 0.8
285 Sacred Hrt NEC -7.2 275 -7.1 54% 50% 1.2
286 Prairie View SWAC -7.2 324 -11.4 100% 100% 0.0
287 Portland St Big Sky -7.3 297 -7.3 37% 67% 0.4
288 Nicholls St Southland -7.3 285 -8.1 43% 70% 0.0
289 Campbell Big South -7.6 295 -7.2 44% 67% 0.2
290 N Hampshire Am. East -7.6 256 -6.3 71% 49% 0.5
291 Northern Kentucky A-Sun -7.6 248 -6.0 28% 46% 0.0
292 TN Tech OVC -7.7 281 -6.8 56% 62% 0.1
293 E Washingtn Big Sky -7.8 293 -7.7 70% 70% 0.0
294 E Illinois OVC -7.8 277 -7.4 61% 51% 0.2
295 UC Riverside Big West -7.9 312 -8.3 100% 62% 0.1
296 Nebraska Omaha Summit -7.9 326 -12.2 87% 100% 0.7
297 LA Monroe Sun Belt -8.1 328 -11.1 38% 84% 0.0
298 NC A&T MEAC -8.1 231 -6.1 54% 34% 0.0
299 Elon Southern -8.4 203 -3.6 20% 20% 0.0
300 Grand Canyon WAC -8.5 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
301 Chicago St WAC -8.5 302 -11.4 100% 82% 0.7
302 UMKC WAC -8.7 319 -9.4 42% 60% 1.9
303 Utah Val St WAC -8.7 289 -8.2 65% 46% 0.9
304 Maine Am. East -8.7 266 -6.0 25% 35% 0.0
305 SE Louisiana Southland -9.0 283 -7.3 37% 44% 0.1
306 Coppin State MEAC -9.0 309 -9.1 100% 71% 0.0
307 N Arizona Big Sky -9.1 314 -8.4 60% 48% 0.8
308 Sac State Big Sky -9.1 276 -7.8 56% 46% -0.1
309 Hofstra CAA -9.2 304 -6.6 63% 38% 1.3
310 VA Military Big South -9.2 301 -8.8 66% 47% 0.7
311 St Fran (PA) NEC -9.3 329 -11.3 76% 88% 0.0
312 Ark Pine Bl SWAC -9.5 296 -9.3 57% 59% 0.0
313 Delaware St MEAC -9.6 287 -7.9 52% 45% 0.0
314 Rice CUSA -9.8 320 -7.8 64% 46% 0.0
315 IUPUI Summit -9.8 332 -8.8 55% 50% 0.3
316 Florida A&M MEAC -9.8 327 -11.9 80% 80% 0.0
317 San Jose St MWC -9.8 288 -6.9 54% 36% 0.0
318 TN Martin OVC -9.8 333 -12.6 86% 81% 0.1
319 NC-Grnsboro Southern -9.9 282 -7.8 33% 32% 1.1
320 Idaho State Big Sky -10.0 318 -9.6 93% 63% 0.0
321 Furman Southern -10.0 337 -10.6 40% 57% 0.7
322 Kennesaw St A-Sun -10.0 330 -11.2 15% 61% 1.0
323 N Illinois MAC -10.3 323 -10.1 100% 69% 0.5
324 Maryland BC Am. East -10.6 315 -11.0 7% 62% 0.0
325 New Jersey Tech Ind. -10.6 267 -8.0 29% 46% 0.0
326 Lamar Southland -10.9 345 -12.0 0% 46% 0.5
327 TX-Pan Am WAC -11.2 316 -10.5 26% 48% 1.4
328 Central Ark Southland -11.3 310 -10.4 27% 49% 0.3
329 Incarnate Word Southland -11.5 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
330 Beth-Cook MEAC -11.6 269 -7.2 11% 18% 0.2
331 SIU Edward OVC -11.7 306 -10.7 62% 49% 0.1
332 S Utah Big Sky -11.8 313 -9.0 18% 46% 0.0
333 S Car State MEAC -11.8 338 -13.3 76% 80% 0.0
334 Alcorn State SWAC -11.9 321 -12.0 4% 45% 1.1
335 Monmouth MAAC -12.1 311 -9.2 30% 37% -0.2
336 Massachusetts Lowell Am. East -12.5 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
337 Jackson St SWAC -12.9 322 -10.4 12% 21% 1.8
338 Binghamton Am. East -13.1 341 -13.3 50% 51% 0.0
339 Houston Bap Southland -13.4 331 -12.7 66% 54% 0.2
340 Miss Val St SWAC -13.8 342 -12.9 0% 47% 0.0
341 Alab A&M SWAC -13.8 340 -13.8 57% 59% 0.0
342 Presbyterian Big South -13.9 334 -11.6 32% 44% 0.0
343 Citadel Southern -14.4 336 -11.6 44% 0% 0.0
344 Abilene Christian Southland -14.5 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
345 New Orleans Southland -14.7 346 -14.6 26% 49% 0.8
346 Longwood Big South -14.8 344 -14.3 82% 39% 0.2
347 Maryland ES MEAC -15.2 343 -14.3 100% 57% 0.3
348 Alabama St SWAC -15.4 335 -12.4 13% 35% 0.0
349 Howard MEAC -15.6 325 -12.2 0% 29% 0.1
350 F Dickinson NEC -15.8 339 -13.2 26% 39% 0.1
351 Grambling St SWAC -21.9 347 -22.6 70% 70% 0.0
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