Notes from the Sports Nerds

NBA Playoffs GameZone Launched

• 0 comments - NBA - posted by tom on 04.17.09

GameZone NBA Playoffs, our newest product, launched today. We invite you to check out some analysis and predictions for free:

View NBA Playoffs Analysis & Picks

Features

In addition to offering our popular “Build Your Own Predictive Model” feature for the upcoming NBA playoff games, GameZone’s simplified interface includes access to ATS and over/under picks for every 2009 NBA playoff game, as well as money line analysis, simulated box scores, and line movement tracking.

Performance & Track Record

Our NBA Playoff package offers picks from algorithmic models that have delivered profitable performance both this year and across the past five years of NBA playoffs.

For example, our Similar Games model has gone 100-81-5 overall (55.2%, +9.91 units) ATS on 2-star or better picks across the last five NBA playoffs. Over-under picks have gone 226-188-6 (54.6%, +17.45 units) over the same period.

Analysis Approach & System

Many NBA handicappers encourage extremely risky betting strategies by “going big” on a small number of picks over the NBA playoffs.

That’s not our approach. We look to build repeatable systems that combine a profitable win rate with downside protection over the long term, which often translates into more plays and smaller, more stable bet sizes compared to higher-risk strategies. Going 55% over 400 games means a lot more than going 65% over 20 or 30.

With that in mind, and responding to feedback from our users, we are now tracking two basic systems for using our NBA predictions, called “2+ Stars” and “Star Basis”, which are explained on the site.

If you are just looking for one or two “big winners” during the 2009 NBA playoffs, our approach is probably not for you. However, if you are looking for an objective, data-driven foundation for making picks that has generated profits with moderated risk across a five-year playoff span, we invite you to check out our analysis.

View free preview and picks for Cavaliers-Pistons Game 1