College Basketball Preseason Projections & Win Totals For 2014-15

Wednesday afternoon we published our initial 2014-2015 college basketball preseason ratings, which means we now have full preseason projections for all teams, including:

This is all data-driven, and automated, so it will update every day throughout the season.

Below you’ll find our full conference standings projections, along with projected regular season records, and each team’s odds of winning their conference regular season and conference tournament.

2014-15 TeamRankings College Basketball Preseason Standings & Projections

For a lot more info on any team, click their name to be taken to their season projections page (and once there, be sure to check out the Bracketology link in the left sidebar). Or, check out our projections hubs listed above.

Need a refresher on what info you can find in our automated bracketology projections, and how we created them? Check out our original post Introducing Our New Algorithmic Bracketology Projections and our review of what’s in our NCAA tournament bracket prediction pages.

[Note: Overall regular season record projections account for only already-scheduled games, so will be missing some early season tournament games where opponents have yet to be determined.]

**UPDATE (Nov 13, 2014, 2:45 PM Pacific)** A reader pointed out some postseason bans that we didn’t account for. We’ve added those bans to the code, re-run the projections, and updated this table.

ACC Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Duke14.93.125.54.538.2%34.0%
Louisville14.04.025.95.127.7%24.5%
N Carolina12.55.521.87.213.5%14.5%
Virginia11.96.121.08.09.2%9.0%
Pittsburgh10.77.321.38.74.2%5.6%
Syracuse9.68.418.711.32.2%3.4%
Clemson9.38.717.710.31.4%2.3%
Florida St8.99.118.912.11.4%2.1%
NC State8.89.219.211.81.4%2.2%
Notre Dame7.510.518.112.90.4%0.9%
Miami (FL)7.011.014.314.70.3%0.7%
Boston Col6.111.913.614.40.1%0.4%
GA Tech5.312.711.516.50.0%0.2%
VA Tech4.413.612.917.10.0%0.1%
Wake Forest4.313.711.819.20.1%0.1%
America East Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Vermont11.64.417.611.430.6%29.9%
Stony Brook11.34.718.712.327.5%26.4%
Hartford10.85.216.811.221.5%21.1%
Albany10.15.915.113.914.7%15.4%
N Hampshire6.010.09.019.01.3%1.8%
Binghamton5.910.18.821.21.6%1.7%
Maryland BC5.610.49.519.51.0%1.3%
Massachusetts Lowell5.510.58.320.71.2%1.4%
Maine5.210.87.420.60.7%0.9%
American Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
S Methodist14.13.923.66.439.8%30.0%
Memphis12.65.421.88.219.6%16.3%
Connecticut12.15.918.79.316.5%28.5%
Cincinnati11.26.819.710.310.4%10.0%
Tulsa10.77.318.410.68.5%7.7%
Temple9.28.816.213.83.4%4.1%
Central FL6.611.414.214.80.5%1.0%
Houston6.611.415.414.60.7%1.0%
E Carolina6.012.013.115.90.4%0.7%
Tulane5.312.713.017.00.2%0.5%
S Florida4.713.311.319.70.1%0.3%
Atlantic 10 Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
VCU14.53.523.66.446.4%36.3%
Geo Wshgtn11.16.919.29.811.7%11.2%
Dayton11.07.018.19.98.0%9.4%
U Mass10.67.417.713.37.3%8.0%
Richmond9.98.119.111.96.2%7.9%
La Salle9.38.716.413.63.7%4.8%
Saint Louis9.38.718.111.94.5%5.5%
St Bonavent9.18.916.912.13.9%5.0%
Rhode Island8.99.114.112.93.9%4.2%
St Josephs7.510.513.816.21.4%2.1%
Davidson7.210.813.615.41.2%2.1%
Duquesne6.711.314.614.41.0%1.6%
Geo Mason6.611.410.316.70.8%1.5%
Fordham4.313.710.019.00.1%0.3%
Atlantic Sun Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Fla Gulf Cst9.64.415.511.530.1%32.8%
Lipscomb8.55.514.614.418.0%21.0%
SC Upstate8.55.517.112.917.9%20.3%
N Florida8.45.614.915.116.4%19.3%
N Kentucky8.06.013.314.713.4%0.0%
Stetson5.18.910.419.62.2%3.2%
Kennesaw St4.99.18.920.11.6%2.7%
Jacksonville3.110.96.723.30.4%0.7%
Big 12 Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Kansas13.84.223.15.938.6%32.4%
Texas12.25.822.37.719.2%18.8%
Iowa State11.86.221.57.515.4%16.1%
Kansas St10.57.520.18.910.3%10.8%
Oklahoma10.37.718.59.58.6%9.7%
Oklahoma St8.59.517.211.83.4%4.8%
Baylor8.19.917.912.12.8%4.0%
W Virginia7.510.516.412.61.6%2.9%
Texas Tech3.914.113.017.00.0%0.4%
TX Christian3.314.713.017.00.0%0.2%
Big East Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Villanova14.53.525.05.054.4%41.7%
Georgetown11.16.918.28.812.7%14.0%
Creighton10.57.519.710.39.3%11.1%
St Johns9.78.318.611.46.6%8.5%
Marquette9.38.716.811.26.0%7.3%
Xavier8.79.316.013.04.3%6.0%
Butler8.19.915.513.52.6%4.4%
Providence7.910.116.414.62.6%4.2%
Seton Hall6.811.213.214.81.4%2.5%
DePaul3.314.78.520.50.0%0.3%
Big Sky Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
E Washingtn11.66.417.213.818.7%15.2%
Weber State11.46.614.611.416.7%26.8%
N Arizona10.97.115.414.614.3%11.1%
N Colorado10.97.116.212.812.4%10.3%
Sac State10.17.914.813.29.5%8.6%
Montana9.88.213.315.78.5%7.8%
Idaho9.68.413.915.18.0%7.5%
Portland St9.18.912.715.36.0%5.7%
Idaho State7.910.111.718.33.1%3.3%
North Dakota6.911.19.920.11.5%1.8%
Montana St6.411.68.922.11.2%1.7%
S Utah3.414.64.623.40.1%0.2%
Big South Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Coastal Car13.84.221.47.638.3%45.8%
Charl South11.86.215.711.314.7%12.1%
Radford11.36.718.111.914.3%10.1%
Winthrop11.07.016.412.69.6%8.1%
High Point10.47.616.014.08.7%8.7%
NC-Asheville10.08.014.814.26.7%6.7%
Gard-Webb9.18.913.113.95.2%5.0%
Liberty7.011.013.017.01.1%1.5%
Campbell6.611.411.919.11.1%1.4%
Presbyterian4.813.29.320.70.2%0.4%
Longwood3.214.84.925.10.1%0.1%
Big Ten Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Wisconsin14.23.824.05.037.5%29.8%
Ohio State12.65.424.07.020.0%16.8%
Michigan St11.26.820.88.29.2%10.6%
Maryland10.57.521.09.06.4%7.5%
Illinois10.37.721.29.85.5%7.4%
Iowa10.17.919.610.47.5%7.9%
Michigan9.48.617.911.14.0%4.9%
Indiana9.38.719.511.53.4%4.7%
Nebraska8.39.716.311.72.1%3.7%
Minnesota8.19.917.912.11.9%2.9%
Purdue7.910.116.312.71.7%2.2%
Penn State6.211.814.714.30.7%1.0%
Northwestern4.813.214.215.80.1%0.4%
Rutgers3.114.910.020.00.0%0.1%
Big West Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Lg Beach St12.13.917.812.236.4%32.0%
UCSB11.34.718.49.625.4%24.1%
UC Irvine11.24.819.39.724.6%23.4%
Cal Poly8.37.712.815.25.4%7.3%
Cal St Nrdge7.09.014.115.92.8%4.1%
CS Fullerton7.09.013.917.12.5%4.1%
Hawaii6.59.511.515.52.1%3.2%
UC Davis4.411.69.119.90.4%0.9%
UC Riverside4.211.89.720.30.3%0.8%
CAA Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Northeastrn11.56.516.613.425.2%21.0%
Drexel10.17.912.813.213.9%13.5%
Wm & Mary9.98.114.413.612.7%12.4%
Col Charlestn9.78.315.313.711.2%11.6%
NC-Wilmgton9.58.514.114.910.5%10.5%
Elon9.18.914.914.18.9%9.3%
Delaware8.49.612.816.27.2%7.4%
Hofstra7.810.214.216.84.5%5.9%
James Mad7.011.013.317.72.9%4.2%
Towson6.911.112.718.33.0%4.0%
CUSA Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
LA Tech13.44.622.88.227.4%24.3%
Old Dominion13.24.820.37.723.2%18.5%
TX El Paso12.95.118.58.520.7%16.9%
S Mississippi11.26.817.911.19.5%10.3%
Middle Tenn10.17.916.513.54.9%6.0%
W Kentucky10.08.015.914.14.1%5.8%
Charlotte9.78.314.614.44.4%4.7%
UAB8.49.614.015.02.1%7.5%
Fla Atlantic8.29.813.315.71.3%2.0%
Marshall7.810.213.317.71.1%2.0%
North Texas6.611.411.518.50.7%1.0%
Florida Intl5.712.310.520.50.3%0.5%
Rice5.013.09.218.80.2%0.3%
TX-San Ant4.014.08.520.50.0%0.2%
Horizon League Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
WI-Grn Bay11.94.119.17.940.9%44.8%
Cleveland St10.55.519.111.923.0%21.8%
Detroit8.87.216.014.010.8%10.6%
Valparaiso8.17.916.313.77.1%7.8%
WI-Milwkee7.48.613.616.45.3%0.0%
Oakland7.38.712.518.55.5%5.8%
Wright State7.09.013.216.83.8%4.7%
Youngs St6.39.715.115.93.0%3.5%
IL-Chicago4.611.49.420.60.7%1.1%
Independents Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
NJIT0.00.012.515.5n/an/a
Ivy Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Harvard11.32.721.86.252.5%n/a
Yale8.55.518.212.814.4%n/a
Princeton8.55.517.410.614.2%n/a
Columbia7.96.116.811.29.6%n/a
Brown6.67.415.614.44.6%n/a
Dartmouth6.47.614.113.94.0%n/a
U Penn4.29.89.318.70.7%n/a
Cornell2.511.56.221.80.1%n/a
MAAC Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Iona15.64.422.58.543.4%30.0%
Siena13.07.018.710.316.8%29.3%
Manhattan12.67.416.611.415.1%12.4%
Quinnipiac11.28.816.912.17.8%7.7%
St Peters9.910.114.715.34.5%5.0%
Monmouth9.510.514.716.33.8%4.4%
Fairfield9.011.013.316.73.2%3.4%
Rider8.511.511.917.11.9%2.7%
Marist8.211.811.116.91.9%2.5%
Canisius7.712.311.317.71.5%2.1%
Niagara4.815.26.922.10.3%0.5%
MAC Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Toledo11.66.418.911.119.2%17.1%
Buffalo11.46.619.611.418.6%17.1%
W Michigan11.26.817.510.516.3%14.9%
Akron10.47.618.310.711.1%12.8%
Ohio10.37.715.711.310.5%10.7%
Kent State9.88.217.512.58.3%8.9%
Bowling Grn9.58.515.913.16.7%7.4%
N Illinois7.810.213.615.42.8%3.0%
E Michigan7.710.315.315.72.8%3.2%
Central Mich7.310.713.213.81.9%2.6%
Miami (OH)6.711.312.617.41.5%2.1%
Ball State4.313.78.820.20.4%0.4%
MEAC Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
NC Central13.72.320.88.250.9%42.7%
Hampton12.43.618.59.528.8%26.5%
Delaware St8.87.212.118.93.8%5.4%
Coppin State8.67.410.417.62.9%4.9%
Morgan St8.37.710.318.72.8%4.7%
Savannah St8.17.911.019.02.9%3.7%
Norfolk St7.88.211.618.42.4%4.0%
Howard7.88.212.217.82.6%3.6%
Beth-Cook7.18.912.518.51.7%2.1%
NC A&T5.810.28.621.40.6%1.1%
Maryland ES5.510.57.322.70.3%0.8%
S Car State5.110.96.423.60.2%0.5%
Florida A&M4.811.26.822.20.2%0.0%
Mountain West Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
San Diego St14.04.022.86.243.0%32.5%
Colorado St11.36.719.39.714.6%12.8%
Boise State10.77.319.210.810.4%10.1%
UNLV10.37.717.612.49.0%18.3%
Wyoming10.27.820.011.08.3%8.4%
New Mexico10.27.817.810.28.1%9.0%
Fresno St9.18.916.013.04.5%5.7%
Nevada6.411.611.315.70.9%1.4%
Air Force6.111.912.715.30.5%1.1%
Utah State5.612.411.618.40.5%0.8%
San Jose St5.013.09.418.60.3%0.0%
MVC Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Wichita St15.32.723.44.657.1%47.5%
N Iowa13.54.521.67.425.6%24.6%
Evansville11.16.918.79.38.5%10.8%
Indiana St9.09.016.312.72.7%4.8%
Illinois St9.09.015.212.82.9%4.7%
Missouri St7.610.413.015.01.3%2.5%
Loyola-Chi6.811.213.415.60.4%1.6%
Drake6.711.312.617.40.6%1.5%
S Illinois6.511.514.116.90.8%1.5%
Bradley4.513.59.519.50.1%0.4%
Northeast Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Rob Morris11.56.515.613.423.0%20.1%
St Fran (NY)11.07.016.613.419.4%17.2%
Bryant10.08.012.916.111.7%12.4%
Central Conn9.68.414.816.29.9%10.5%
Wagner9.48.613.215.810.0%10.2%
St Fran (PA)9.48.612.215.89.3%10.0%
Sacred Hrt8.19.912.117.95.3%6.2%
Mt St Marys8.010.011.117.95.5%6.1%
LIU-Brooklyn7.910.112.116.94.8%5.8%
F Dickinson5.112.96.922.11.0%1.6%
Ohio Valley Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Murray St13.42.624.06.045.7%38.3%
Belmont12.43.620.28.827.1%27.4%
Morehead St10.35.718.212.810.2%11.3%
SE Missouri10.25.817.211.88.2%9.4%
E Kentucky9.26.815.812.24.7%6.7%
TN Tech6.79.312.517.51.3%1.8%
Austin Peay6.69.411.817.21.0%1.5%
SIU Edward5.910.110.116.90.3%0.8%
Jksnville St5.610.410.420.60.6%1.0%
TN Martin5.610.411.117.90.3%0.7%
E Illinois5.510.59.019.00.4%0.7%
TN State4.711.38.421.60.2%0.4%
Pac-12 Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Arizona16.11.926.42.671.2%56.9%
Utah11.56.520.29.88.3%10.3%
UCLA11.16.918.610.45.8%8.1%
Colorado10.67.418.79.35.2%7.2%
Stanford10.17.918.011.03.4%5.5%
Oregon9.48.618.311.72.1%3.6%
California9.28.818.111.91.8%3.7%
Washington8.29.815.912.11.3%2.2%
Arizona St6.911.114.715.30.5%1.4%
Wash State5.912.111.716.30.4%0.7%
USC5.212.811.416.60.1%0.4%
Oregon St3.914.19.919.10.0%0.1%
Patriot Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
American11.76.317.912.125.2%23.7%
Holy Cross10.67.415.712.315.3%15.5%
Bucknell10.27.815.414.613.8%13.3%
Lafayette10.08.016.112.911.8%12.2%
Army9.38.714.813.29.6%9.7%
Lehigh9.18.913.714.38.4%8.3%
Colgate8.99.115.016.07.5%7.9%
Boston U8.39.712.915.15.5%5.9%
Navy6.711.311.617.42.1%2.6%
Loyola-MD5.112.98.420.60.7%1.0%
SEC Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Kentucky15.52.526.84.250.9%43.3%
Florida14.33.723.65.429.8%28.2%
Arkansas12.06.022.48.67.2%9.0%
Alabama9.88.218.911.12.6%3.8%
Mississippi9.68.419.110.92.3%3.8%
Texas A&M8.89.216.111.91.9%2.7%
Georgia8.89.216.512.51.6%2.4%
Tennessee8.79.315.812.21.5%2.0%
LSU7.610.415.813.20.8%1.4%
Missouri7.610.414.414.60.8%1.4%
Vanderbilt6.211.814.215.80.0%0.5%
S Carolina6.111.912.515.50.5%0.7%
Auburn6.012.012.917.10.1%0.5%
Miss State5.212.813.916.10.1%0.3%
Southern Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Wofford14.53.520.79.346.0%38.6%
Mercer12.65.418.310.720.0%20.4%
E Tenn St12.35.717.611.418.5%18.5%
VA Military10.08.013.014.07.8%8.1%
W Carolina8.99.112.818.23.5%5.1%
Chattanooga7.910.112.617.41.7%3.3%
NC-Grnsboro7.410.611.919.11.1%2.6%
Furman6.311.79.619.40.6%1.7%
Citadel6.012.09.417.60.7%1.4%
Samford4.113.96.823.20.1%0.4%
Southland Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Ste F Austin15.92.123.56.560.9%56.7%
Sam Hous St13.14.920.410.615.1%15.7%
NW State12.35.716.611.49.9%13.0%
Incarnate Word11.46.615.812.25.1%0.0%
SE Louisiana10.57.513.317.72.5%4.3%
TX A&M-CC10.47.614.214.83.6%5.8%
McNeese St9.18.912.415.61.7%2.5%
Nicholls St8.19.910.917.10.8%1.5%
New Orleans6.411.68.818.20.2%0.5%
Lamar6.111.99.820.20.2%0.0%
Houston Bap6.012.08.819.20.1%0.0%
Abilene Christian4.113.96.323.70.0%0.0%
Central Ark3.714.34.424.60.0%0.0%
Summit Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Denver11.05.018.710.330.9%25.9%
N Dakota St10.25.816.310.723.0%20.5%
IPFW8.97.116.012.011.6%12.8%
S Dakota St8.97.116.413.611.7%12.6%
Oral Roberts8.57.514.415.610.1%10.9%
W Illinois6.69.412.015.03.7%5.0%
Neb Omaha6.59.512.216.84.2%5.1%
South Dakota6.59.512.318.73.4%4.9%
IUPUI4.911.18.321.71.2%2.2%
Sun Belt Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Georgia St17.12.924.26.862.4%51.8%
LA Lafayette13.76.320.810.215.8%17.3%
AR Lit Rock12.37.716.511.58.0%10.4%
TX-Arlington11.88.216.513.56.5%8.6%
LA Monroe9.310.714.114.92.1%3.2%
Arkansas St9.210.813.415.62.0%3.1%
S Alabama8.111.911.819.21.0%1.8%
Texas State7.812.212.816.20.9%1.7%
GA Southern7.512.511.416.60.8%1.4%
Troy6.713.310.118.90.3%0.8%
App State6.513.58.420.60.2%0.0%
SWAC Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
TX Southern12.45.614.516.524.7%33.9%
Alabama St12.15.915.511.521.1%0.0%
Southern12.06.015.815.221.6%0.0%
Ark Pine Bl11.66.414.515.517.3%26.1%
Jackson St9.58.511.919.16.0%13.5%
Alcorn State8.99.110.416.65.1%11.0%
Alab A&M7.410.68.419.61.9%6.1%
Prairie View7.210.88.220.81.9%5.9%
Miss Val St5.612.46.123.90.4%2.7%
Grambling St3.214.84.223.80.0%0.7%
WAC Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
N Mex State12.02.022.28.864.7%57.8%
Seattle8.95.116.511.515.4%17.7%
CS Bakersfld7.86.215.015.07.7%10.5%
Utah Val St7.26.812.915.15.7%8.2%
Grand Canyon6.57.514.816.23.5%0.0%
UMKC5.09.08.521.51.3%2.5%
TX-Pan Am4.69.48.721.31.0%2.0%
Chicago St4.010.06.723.30.6%1.4%
WCC Projected Standings
ConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Gonzaga15.52.525.44.656.4%47.6%
BYU13.94.123.06.027.1%26.6%
St Marys11.56.519.69.48.1%10.7%
San Fransco9.28.816.611.42.4%4.3%
Portland9.28.817.612.43.1%4.3%
San Diego8.59.513.514.52.0%3.2%
Santa Clara7.710.312.815.20.6%2.0%
Pepperdine6.012.011.817.20.2%0.8%
Loyola Mymt4.313.77.021.00.0%0.3%
Pacific4.113.97.320.70.0%0.2%