| NFL ATS Picks | Betting picks against recent Vegas spreads |
| NFL Over Under Picks | Betting picks against recent Vegas totals lines |
| NFL Game Winner Picks | Betting picks to win games straight up |
| NFL Money Line Picks | Betting picks against recent Vegas money lines |
About NFL Football Picks from Team Rankings
Our NFL picks are the result of algorithmic prediction models developed by a Stanford mathematician and engineers. These models make a variety of NFL picks for betting and pick'em contests by analyzing years of historical NFL game results, stats, and betting odds data.
NFL Football Picks Performance Highlights (vs.closing lines)
| Type | Model/Split | Record | % | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL ATS Picks |
Power Ratings Model in last 500 2 star or better picks |
260-226-14 | 53.5% | +10.4 |
| NFL Game Winner Picks |
Similar Games Model in last 500 3 star or better picks |
353-146-1 | 70.7% | |
| NFL Over Under Picks |
Similar Games Model in last 100 picks |
50-48-2 | 51.0% | -2.5 |
| NFL Money Line Picks |
Similar Games Model since 2007 in 3 star or better picks |
48-89-1 | 35.0% | +21.6 |
NFL Football ATS Picks (Against The Spread)
NFL Football ATS Picks - Power Ratings Model
Algorithmic math model that determines NFL ATS picks by comparing power ratings based predictions to point spreads.
- 260-226-14 (53.5%) in last 500 2 star or better picks.
- 145-127-9 (53.3%) since 2004 in 3 star or better picks.
NFL Football ATS Picks - Similar Games (Points) Model
Algorithmic math model that determines NFL ATS picks by analyzing margins of victory in statistically similar historical games.
- 51-44-5 (53.7%) in last 100 picks.
NFL Football ATS Picks - Similar Games (Odds) Model
Algorithmic math model that determines NFL ATS picks by analyzing ATS cover percentages in statistically similar historical games.
- 55-40-5 (57.9%) in last 100 picks.
- 130-114-6 (53.3%) in last 250 2 star or better picks.
NFL Football Over/Under Picks
NFL Football Over Under Picks - Similar Games Model
Algorithmic math model that analyzes over/under outcomes in statistically similar historical games.
- 50-48-2 (51.0%) in last 100 picks.
NFL Football Game Winner Picks
NFL Football Game Winner Picks - Power Ratings Model
Algorithmic math model that determines NFL win picks using power ratings based predictions.
- 350-149-1 (70.1%) in last 500 3 star or better picks.
NFL Football Game Winner Picks - Similar Games Model
Algorithmic math model that determines NFL win picks by analyzing win percentages in statistically similar historical games.
- 226-82-1 (73.4%) since 2007 in 3 star or better picks.
- 73-27-0 (73.0%) in last 100 2 star or better picks.
