| NFL ATS Picks | Betting picks against recent Vegas spreads |
| NFL Over Under Picks | Betting picks against recent Vegas totals lines |
| NFL Game Winner Picks | Betting picks to win games straight up |
| NFL Money Line Picks | Betting picks against recent Vegas money lines |
Our NFL picks are the result of algorithmic prediction models developed by a Stanford mathematician and engineers. These models make a variety of NFL picks for betting and pick'em contests by analyzing years of historical NFL game results, stats, and betting odds data.
| Type | Model/Split | Record | % | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL ATS Picks |
Power Ratings Model since 2007 in 2 star or better picks |
171-146-7 | 53.9% | +9.5 |
| NFL Game Winner Picks |
Power Ratings Model since 2007 in 2 star or better picks |
383-174-0 | 68.8% | |
| NFL Over Under Picks |
Similar Games Model since 2007 in 3 star or better picks |
25-19-2 | 56.8% | +3.7 |
| NFL Money Line Picks |
Power Ratings Model since 2007 in 3 star or better picks |
111-128-0 | 46.4% | +23.9 |
NFL Football ATS Picks - Power Ratings Model
Algorithmic math model that determines NFL ATS picks by comparing power ratings based predictions to point spreads.
NFL Football ATS Picks - Similar Games (Points) Model
Algorithmic math model that determines NFL ATS picks by analyzing margins of victory in statistically similar historical games.
NFL Football ATS Picks - Similar Games (Odds) Model
Algorithmic math model that determines NFL ATS picks by analyzing ATS cover percentages in statistically similar historical games.
NFL Football Over Under Picks - Similar Games Model
Algorithmic math model that analyzes over/under outcomes in statistically similar historical games.
NFL Football Game Winner Picks - Power Ratings Model
Algorithmic math model that determines NFL win picks using power ratings based predictions.
NFL Football Game Winner Picks - Similar Games Model
Algorithmic math model that determines NFL win picks by analyzing win percentages in statistically similar historical games.

We use smart data and sophisticated math to analyze and predict sports. Since 2000, we have developed and refined power ratings and algorithms that eliminate human bias from the prediction process.
We are not your typical handicappers. We are Stanford nerds that love sports, data, and technology. The challenge of predicting games using advanced mathematical forecasting inspires us. Our goal is to create the most valuable information resource for sports bettors and pick'em players.
Above all, we strive to set the bar for honesty, objectivity, and transparency in an industry full of shady characters. No game is a "lock" and we don't "guarantee" picks. We don't make money advertising online sports books, and we publish lifetime performance histories for all our prediction models.
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